The price of sin: the effects on social norms on markets
January 30, 2008
The study covers this topic in three steps - 1) an analysis of ownership, 2) a review of valuation, and 3) an attribution analysis of historical returns.
Finds that for the 1980-2003 time period, sin stocks had “approximately a 13% lower institutional ownership ratio than other firms.” The stocks also had less analyst coverage than the average firm for the 1976-2003 time period (2.1 covering analysts on average vs. 2.5 for other firms). Mutual funds and independent advisors did not have low levels of ownership, however, which the authors attribute to their role and “natural arbitrageurs.”
The valuation review likewise also suggests neglect: price/book ratios for sin stocks are, on average, 16% lower than those of other companies (after adjusting for other characteristics such as ROE and R&D / Sales) for the 1962-2003 time period.
The attribution analysis of returns covers the 1926-1964 and 1965-2004 time periods. Finds consistent outperformance by sin stocks (returns are expressed as alphas after adjusting for beta, size, price/book ratio, and momentum). This outperformance was notably greater in the latter time period, when social objections to tobacco were gaining strength. This analysis also shows that the stocks were more likely to be classified as value stocks during the latter period.
Concludes that “some investors, particularly institutions subject to public scrutiny and social norms, pay a financial price for not holding these stocks.”
This study received an Honorable Mention in the 2006 Moskowitz Prize competition (awarded by the Center for Responsible Business at the
Haas School of Business, in cooperation with the Social Investment Forum, the Moskowitz Prize promotes the concept, practice, and growth of socially responsible investing).
This article was previously published on stristudies.org, January 30, 2008.
Media release UBC